QB · pick 34 — first ever quarterback at #34 (1991)

QB·pick 34

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #34

Browning Nagle

Drafted by NYJ — GM Dick Steinberg · Louisville

1991

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a quarterback at #34 a 3.8% chance in 1991.

Quarterback at #34, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.6% · 2027 model: 2.7%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

#29OGEd KingCLE — GM Bill Belichick
#30TEReggie JohnsonDEN — GM John Beake
#31LBRoman PhiferLAR — GM John Shaw
#32DEMike JonesARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#33QBBrett FavreATL — GM Ken Herock
#35DTEsera TuaoloGB — GM Tom Braatz
#36DTGeorge ThorntonLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#37LBDixon EdwardsDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#38CBDarryll LewisTEN — GM Mike Holovak
#39RBEric BieniemyLAC — GM Bobby Beathard

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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