Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 30

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #30

Bob Davis

Drafted by TEN · Virginia

1967 · earliest year in the data window

4
QBs drafted at #30 in NFL history
most recent: Dennis Shaw (BUF, 1970)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Quarterback at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.3%

Peak: 12.3% · 2027 model: 2.9%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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