QB · pick 3 — first ever quarterback at #3 (1967)

QB·pick 3

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #3

Steve Spurrier

Drafted by SF · Florida

1967 · earliest year in the data window

QBs drafted at #3 in NFL history

most recent: Drake Maye (NE, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Quarterback at #3, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 55.9% · 2027 model: 38.0%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#1DTBubba SmithIND
#2RBClint JonesMIN
#4QBBob GrieseMIA
#5LBGeorge WebsterTEN
#6RBFloyd LittleDEN
#7RBMel FarrDET
#8WRGene WashingtonMIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 13 picks

2024Drake MayeNE — GM Eliot Wolf · North Carolina
2021Trey LanceSF — GM John Lynch · North Dakota St.
2018Sam DarnoldNYJ — GM Mike Maccagnan · USC
2014Blake BortlesJAX — GM David Caldwell · Central Florida
2008Matt RyanATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff · Boston Col.
2006Vince YoungTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Texas
2002Joey HarringtonDET — GM Matt Millen · Oregon
1999Akili SmithCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Oregon
1995Steve McNairTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Alcorn St.
1994Heath ShulerWAS — GM Charley Casserly · Tennessee
1986Jim EverettTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Purdue
1979Jack ThompsonCIN · Washington State
1970Mike PhippsCLE · Purdue

→ see this cell on the full chart