QB · pick 250 — first ever quarterback at #250 (2004)

QB·pick 250

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #250

Bradlee Van Pelt

Drafted by DEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Colorado St.

2004

QBs drafted at #250 in NFL history

most recent: Trevor Siemian (DEN, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a quarterback at #250 a 5.9% chance in 2004.

Quarterback at #250, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.7% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#245TECourtney AndersonLV — GM Al Davis era
#246OGBrian RimpfBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#247RBBrandon MireeDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#248QBB.J. SymonsHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#249DEBobby McCrayJAX — GM James Harris
#251OGScott WellsGB — GM Mike Sherman
#252CBLenny WilliamsTB — GM Bruce Allen
#253DEIsaac HiltonNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#254OTCarlos JosephLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#255LBAndre SommersellLV — GM Al Davis era

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2015Trevor SiemianDEN — GM John Elway · Northwestern
2010Zac RobinsonNE — GM Bill Belichick · Oklahoma St.
2005Ryan FitzpatrickLAR — GM Charley Armey · Harvard

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