QB · pick 247 — first ever quarterback at #247 (2022)

QB·pick 247

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #247

Skylar Thompson

Drafted by MIA — GM Chris Grier · Kansas St.

2022

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a quarterback at #247 a 3.5% chance in 2022.

Quarterback at #247, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.4% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

#242CBKalon BarnesCAR — GM Scott Fitterer
#243CBJaylen WatsonKC — GM Brett Veach
#244CBChristian MatthewARI — GM Steve Keim
#245OGAndrew StueberNE — GM Bill Belichick
#246OGDawson DeatonCLE — GM Andrew Berry
#248DEAndre AnthonyTB — GM Jason Licht
#249OGRasheed WalkerGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#250RBBrittain BrownLV — GM Dave Ziegler
#251RBIsiah PachecoKC — GM Brett Veach
#252LBJeff GunterCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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