QB · pick 244 — first ever quarterback at #244 (2020)

QB·pick 244

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #244

Nate Stanley

Drafted by MIN — GM Rick Spielman · Iowa

2020

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2019, the model gave a quarterback at #244 a 3.7% chance in 2020.

Quarterback at #244, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.1% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 2020 draft

#239CBDane JacksonBUF — GM Brandon Beane
#240QBTommy StevensNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#241LBChapelle RussellTB — GM Jason Licht
#242DEJonathan GarvinGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#243SChris JacksonTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#245RBRaymond CalaisTB — GM Jason Licht
#246RBMalcolm PerryMIA — GM Chris Grier
#247CBChris WilliamsonNYG — GM Dave Gettleman
#248STSam SlomanLAR — GM Les Snead
#249SBrian Cole IIMIN — GM Rick Spielman

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart