Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 241

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #241

Ken Dorsey

Drafted by SF — GM Terry Donahue · Miami (FL)

2003

2
QBs drafted at #241 in NFL history
most recent: Chris Oladokun (PIT, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a quarterback at #241 a 5.8% chance in 2003.

Quarterback at #241, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.9% 2003: 5.8%

Peak: 11.9% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart