QB · pick 24 — first ever quarterback at #24 (1983)

QB·pick 24

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #24

Ken O'Brien

Drafted by NYJ — GM Jim Kensil · UC Davis

1983

QBs drafted at #24 in NFL history

most recent: Aaron Rodgers (GB, 2005)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a quarterback at #24 a 4.0% chance in 1983.

Quarterback at #24, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.7% · 2027 model: 3.4%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#19SJoey BrownerMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#20RBGary AndersonLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#21DTGabe RiveraPIT — GM Dick Haley
#22CBGill ByrdLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#23DEJim JeffcoatDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#25CDave RimingtonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#26CDon MosebarLV — GM Al Davis
#27QBDan MarinoMIA — GM Don Shula
#28CBDarrell GreenWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#29LBVernon MaxwellIND — GM Ernie Accorsi

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2005Aaron RodgersGB — GM Ted Thompson · California
1991Todd MarinovichLV — GM Al Davis · USC

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