Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 239

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #239

Chris Greisen

Drafted by ARI — GM Bob Ferguson · NW Missouri St.

1999

3
QBs drafted at #239 in NFL history
most recent: Max Duggan (LAC, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a quarterback at #239 a 5.3% chance in 1999.

Quarterback at #239, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.7% 1999: 5.3%

Peak: 11.7% · 2027 model: 5.2%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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