QB · pick 236 — first ever quarterback at #236 (2002)

QB·pick 236

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #236

Wes Pate

Drafted by BAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · S.F. Austin

2002

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a quarterback at #236 a 5.4% chance in 2002.

Quarterback at #236, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.5% · 2027 model: 5.2%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#231DTMonsanto PopeDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#232QBJeff KellySEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#233CBTim WansleyTB — GM Rich McKay
#234DEGreg ScottWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#235WRRonald CurryLV — GM Al Davis era
#237RBAntwoine WomackNE — GM Bill Belichick
#238DERaheem BrockPHI — GM Andy Reid
#239OGEric HeitmannSF — GM Terry Donahue
#240DECarlos HallTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#241RBLeonard HenryMIA — GM Rick Spielman

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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