QB · pick 230 — first ever quarterback at #230 (2005)

QB·pick 230

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #230

Matt Cassel

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · USC

2005

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a quarterback at #230 a 6.9% chance in 2005.

Quarterback at #230, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.1% · 2027 model: 5.1%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#225WRParis WarrenTB — GM Bruce Allen
#226WRLeRon McCoyARI — GM Rod Graves
#227DEKenneth PettwayHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#228DEShaun NuaPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#229QBJames KilianKC — GM Carl Peterson
#231SHamza AbdullahTB — GM Bruce Allen
#232DTJimmy VerdonNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#233DEJonathan FaneneCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#234LBMike SmithBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#235LBCornelius WorthamSEA — GM Tim Ruskell

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart