QB · pick 229 — first ever quarterback at #229 (2005)

QB·pick 229

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #229

James Kilian

Drafted by KC — GM Carl Peterson · Tulsa

2005

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a quarterback at #229 a 6.9% chance in 2005.

Quarterback at #229, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.0% · 2027 model: 5.1%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#224DEJay RatliffDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#225WRParis WarrenTB — GM Bruce Allen
#226WRLeRon McCoyARI — GM Rod Graves
#227DEKenneth PettwayHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#228DEShaun NuaPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#230QBMatt CasselNE — GM Bill Belichick
#231SHamza AbdullahTB — GM Bruce Allen
#232DTJimmy VerdonNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#233DEJonathan FaneneCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#234LBMike SmithBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart