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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 225

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #225

Matt Mauck

Drafted by DEN — GM Mike Shanahan · LSU

2004

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a quarterback at #225 a 5.6% chance in 2004.

Quarterback at #225, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.8% 2004: 5.6%

Peak: 10.8% · 2027 model: 5.0%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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