QB · pick 224 — first ever quarterback at #224 (2020)

QB·pick 224

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #224

Cole McDonald

Drafted by TEN — GM Jon Robinson · Hawaii

2020

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2019, the model gave a quarterback at #224 a 3.8% chance in 2020.

Quarterback at #224, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.7% · 2027 model: 5.0%

Surrounding picks · 2020 draft

#219SGeno StoneBAL — GM Eric DeCosta
#220WRK.J. HillLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#221CBStantley Thomas-OliverCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#222RBEno BenjaminARI — GM Steve Keim
#223CBChris ClaybrooksJAX — GM David Caldwell
#225DEKenny WillekesMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#226OTArlington HambrightCHI — GM Ryan Pace
#227OGLachavious SimmonsCHI — GM Ryan Pace
#228STSterling HofrichterATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#229DEJames Smith-WilliamsWAS — GM Ron Rivera

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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