QB · pick 221 — first ever quarterback at #221 (2013)

QB·pick 221

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #221

Brad Sorensen

Drafted by LAC — GM Tom Telesco · Southern Utah

2013

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2012, the model gave a quarterback at #221 a 4.0% chance in 2013.

Quarterback at #221, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.6% · 2027 model: 5.0%

Surrounding picks · 2013 draft

#216WRCharles JohnsonGB — GM Ted Thompson
#217DEArmonty BryantCLE — GM Mike Lombardi
#218SJordan PoyerPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#219TED.C. JeffersonARI — GM Steve Keim
#220OGRyan SeymourSEA — GM John Schneider
#222TEChris GraggBUF — GM Doug Whaley
#223DTNick WilliamsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#224WRKevin DorseyGB — GM Ted Thompson
#225OGEric HermanNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#226DEMichael BuchananNE — GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart