QB · pick 220 — first ever quarterback at #220 (2018)

QB·pick 220

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #220

Alex McGough

Drafted by SEA — GM John Schneider · Florida International

2018

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2017, the model gave a quarterback at #220 a 3.7% chance in 2018.

Quarterback at #220, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.5% · 2027 model: 5.0%

Surrounding picks · 2018 draft

#215CBradley BozemanBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#216LBAzeem VictorLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#217LBKeishawn BierriaDEN — GM John Elway
#218DEAde ArunaMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#219QBDanny EtlingNE — GM Bill Belichick
#221LBMatthew AdamsIND — GM Chris Ballard
#222CBJermaine KellyHOU — GM Brian Gaine
#223DTJullian TaylorSF — GM John Lynch
#224WRJavon WimsCHI — GM Ryan Pace
#225LBDevante DownsMIN — GM Rick Spielman

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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