QB · pick 22 — first ever quarterback at #22 (2003)

QB·pick 22

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #22

Rex Grossman

Drafted by CHI — GM Jerry Angelo · Florida

2003

QBs drafted at #22 in NFL history

most recent: Johnny Manziel (CLE, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a quarterback at #22 a 3.2% chance in 2003.

Quarterback at #22, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.3% · 2027 model: 3.7%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#17WRBryant JohnsonARI — GM Rod Graves
#18DECalvin PaceARI — GM Rod Graves
#19QBKyle BollerBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#20OTGeorge FosterDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#21CJeff FaineCLE — GM Butch Davis
#23RBWillis McGaheeBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#24TEDallas ClarkIND — GM Bill Polian
#25DTWilliam JosephNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#26OTKwame HarrisSF — GM Terry Donahue
#27RBLarry JohnsonKC — GM Carl Peterson

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2014Johnny ManzielCLE — GM Ray Farmer · Texas A&M
2012Brandon WeedenCLE — GM Tom Heckert · Oklahoma St.
2007Brady QuinnCLE — GM Phil Savage · Notre Dame
2004J.P. LosmanBUF — GM Tom Donahoe · Tulane

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