QB · pick 219 — first ever quarterback at #219 (2018)

QB·pick 219

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #219

Danny Etling

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · LSU

2018

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2017, the model gave a quarterback at #219 a 3.7% chance in 2018.

Quarterback at #219, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.4% · 2027 model: 4.9%

Surrounding picks · 2018 draft

#214LBPeter KalambayiHOU — GM Brian Gaine
#215CBradley BozemanBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#216LBAzeem VictorLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#217LBKeishawn BierriaDEN — GM John Elway
#218DEAde ArunaMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#220QBAlex McGoughSEA — GM John Schneider
#221LBMatthew AdamsIND — GM Chris Ballard
#222CBJermaine KellyHOU — GM Brian Gaine
#223DTJullian TaylorSF — GM John Lynch
#224WRJavon WimsCHI — GM Ryan Pace

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart