QB · pick 218 — first ever quarterback at #218 (2004)

QB·pick 218

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #218

Casey Bramlet

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Wyoming

2004

QBs drafted at #218 in NFL history

most recent: Devin Leary (BAL, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a quarterback at #218 a 5.6% chance in 2004.

Quarterback at #218, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.4% · 2027 model: 4.9%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#213LBDarrell McCloverNYJ — GM Terry Bradway
#214WRJonathan SmithBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#215CBAlfonso MarshallCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#216WRPatrick CraytonDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#217QBCody PickettSF — GM Terry Donahue
#219RBQuincy WilsonATL — GM Rich McKay
#220TEJeff DuganMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#221OGTony PapeMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#222LBDerrick PopeMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#223CBJacques ReevesDAL — GM Jerry Jones

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Devin LearyBAL — GM Eric DeCosta · Kentucky
2021Sam EhlingerIND — GM Chris Ballard · Texas

→ see this cell on the full chart