QB · pick 217 — first ever quarterback at #217 (2004)

QB·pick 217

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #217

Cody Pickett

Drafted by SF — GM Terry Donahue · Washington

2004

QBs drafted at #217 in NFL history

most recent: Tyler Thigpen (MIN, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a quarterback at #217 a 5.6% chance in 2004.

Quarterback at #217, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.3% · 2027 model: 4.9%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#212DTEric TaylorPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#213LBDarrell McCloverNYJ — GM Terry Bradway
#214WRJonathan SmithBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#215CBAlfonso MarshallCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#216WRPatrick CraytonDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#218QBCasey BramletCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#219RBQuincy WilsonATL — GM Rich McKay
#220TEJeff DuganMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#221OGTony PapeMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#222LBDerrick PopeMIA — GM Rick Spielman

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2007Tyler ThigpenMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Coastal Carolina

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