QB · pick 216 — first ever quarterback at #216 (2002)

QB·pick 216

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #216

Seth Burford

Drafted by LAC — GM John Butler · Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo

2002

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a quarterback at #216 a 5.1% chance in 2002.

Quarterback at #216, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.3% · 2027 model: 4.9%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#211TEBob SlowikowskiDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#212CBLaVar GloverPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#213OGPete CampionCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#214RBLuke StaleyDET — GM Matt Millen
#215OGMike PucilloBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#217WRMichael ColemanATL — GM Harold Richardson
#218OTChad BeasleyMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#219DEJoey EvansCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#220DEJosh MallardIND — GM Bill Polian
#221LBMaurice RodriguezKC — GM Carl Peterson

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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