Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 212

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #212

Tim Rattay

Drafted by SF — GM Bill Walsh · Louisiana Tech

2000

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a quarterback at #212 a 4.8% chance in 2000.

Quarterback at #212, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.1% 2000: 4.8%

Peak: 10.1% · 2027 model: 4.8%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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