QB · pick 205 — first ever quarterback at #205 (1996)

QB·pick 205

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #205

Mike Cawley

Drafted by IND — GM Bill Tobin · James Madison

1996

QBs drafted at #205 in NFL history

most recent: Jordan Palmer (WAS, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a quarterback at #205 a 4.2% chance in 1996.

Quarterback at #205, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.8% · 2027 model: 4.8%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#200DTOrpheus RoyePIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#201TEHayward ClayLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#202CDusty ZeiglerBUF — GM John Butler
#203QBSpence FischerPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#204WRToderick MaloneNO — GM Bill Kuharich
#206DTDevin WymanNE — GM Bill Parcells
#207CBWendell DavisDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#208OGMarco RiveraGB — GM Ron Wolf
#209ST.J. CunninghamSEA — GM Mike Allman
#210SChris HayesNYJ — GM Steve Gutman / Pat Kirwan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2007Jordan PalmerWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato · Texas-El Paso
2002Steve BellisariLAR — GM Charley Armey · Ohio St.
2000JaJuan SeiderLAC — GM Bobby Beathard · Florida A&M

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