QB · pick 203 — first ever quarterback at #203 (1996)

QB·pick 203

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #203

Spence Fischer

Drafted by PIT — GM Tom Donahoe · Duke

1996

QBs drafted at #203 in NFL history

most recent: Tanner Lee (JAX, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a quarterback at #203 a 4.2% chance in 1996.

Quarterback at #203, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.7% · 2027 model: 4.7%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#198RBStephen PittsSF — GM Carmen Policy
#199WRPhillip RileyPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#200DTOrpheus RoyePIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#201TEHayward ClayLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#202CDusty ZeiglerBUF — GM John Butler
#204WRToderick MaloneNO — GM Bill Kuharich
#205QBMike CawleyIND — GM Bill Tobin
#206DTDevin WymanNE — GM Bill Parcells
#207CBWendell DavisDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#208OGMarco RiveraGB — GM Ron Wolf

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2018Tanner LeeJAX — GM David Caldwell · Nebraska

→ see this cell on the full chart