QB · pick 202 — first ever quarterback at #202 (2000)

QB·pick 202

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #202

Todd Husak

Drafted by WAS — GM Vinny Cerrato · Stanford

2000

QBs drafted at #202 in NFL history

most recent: John Navarre (ARI, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a quarterback at #202 a 4.6% chance in 2000.

Quarterback at #202, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.6% · 2027 model: 4.7%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#197DERobaire SmithTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#198SMatt BowenLAR — GM Charley Armey
#199QBTom BradyNE — GM Bill Belichick
#200WRSherrod GideonNO — GM Randy Mueller
#201DEDavid NugentNE — GM Bill Belichick
#203CBDamen WheelerLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#204TEJason GavadzaPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#205QBJaJuan SeiderLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#206OTBrad BedellCLE — GM Dwight Clark
#207OGManuia SaveaCLE — GM Dwight Clark

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2004John NavarreARI — GM Rod Graves · Michigan

→ see this cell on the full chart