QB · pick 201 — first ever quarterback at #201 (2003)

QB·pick 201

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #201

Kliff Kingsbury

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Texas Tech

2003

QBs drafted at #201 in NFL history

most recent: Brandon Allen (JAX, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a quarterback at #201 a 5.5% chance in 2003.

Quarterback at #201, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.6% · 2027 model: 4.7%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#196WRLaTarence DunbarATL — GM Harold Richardson
#197WRArnaz BattleSF — GM Terry Donahue
#198LBCato JuneIND — GM Bill Polian
#199WRWillie PonderNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#200QBBrooks BollingerNYJ — GM Terry Bradway
#202CBWaine BaconATL — GM Harold Richardson
#203WRKareem KellyNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#204OTDustin RykertLV — GM Al Davis era
#205CBTorrie CoxTB — GM Rich McKay
#206RBBrock ForseyCHI — GM Jerry Angelo

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2016Brandon AllenJAX — GM David Caldwell · Arkansas
2009Curtis PainterIND — GM Bill Polian · Purdue
2004Jeff SmokerLAR — GM Charley Armey · Michigan St.

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