QB · pick 200 — first ever quarterback at #200 (2003)

QB·pick 200

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #200

Brooks Bollinger

Drafted by NYJ — GM Terry Bradway · Wisconsin

2003

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a quarterback at #200 a 5.5% chance in 2003.

Quarterback at #200, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.5% · 2027 model: 4.7%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#195DEAntonio GarayCLE — GM Butch Davis
#196WRLaTarence DunbarATL — GM Harold Richardson
#197WRArnaz BattleSF — GM Terry Donahue
#198LBCato JuneIND — GM Bill Polian
#199WRWillie PonderNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#201QBKliff KingsburyNE — GM Bill Belichick
#202CBWaine BaconATL — GM Harold Richardson
#203WRKareem KellyNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#204OTDustin RykertLV — GM Al Davis era
#205CBTorrie CoxTB — GM Rich McKay

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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