QB · pick 20 — first ever quarterback at #20 (2022)

QB·pick 20

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #20

Kenny Pickett

Drafted by PIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Pittsburgh

2022

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a quarterback at #20 a 5.3% chance in 2022.

Quarterback at #20, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.9% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

#15OGKenyon GreenHOU — GM Nick Caserio
#16WRJahan DotsonWAS — GM Ron Rivera
#17OGZion JohnsonLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#18WRTreylon BurksTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#19OTTrevor PenningNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#21CBTrent McDuffieKC — GM Brett Veach
#22LBQuay WalkerGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#23CBKaiir ElamBUF — GM Brandon Beane
#24OGTyler SmithDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#25OGTyler LinderbaumBAL — GM Eric DeCosta

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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