QB · pick 2 — first ever quarterback at #2 (1971)

QB·pick 2

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #2

Archie Manning

Drafted by NO · Ole Miss

1971

QBs drafted at #2 in NFL history

most recent: Jayden Daniels (WAS, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a quarterback at #2 a 20.4% chance in 1971.

Quarterback at #2, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 72.9% · 2027 model: 51.7%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

#1QBJim PlunkettNE
#4WRJ. D. HillBUF
#5DERichard HarrisPHI
#6RBJohn RigginsNYJ
#7RBJoe ProfitATL
#8WRFrank LewisPIT

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 11 picks

2024Jayden DanielsWAS — GM Adam Peters · LSU
2023C.J. StroudHOU — GM Nick Caserio · Ohio St.
2021Zach WilsonNYJ — GM Joe Douglas · BYU
2017Mitchell TrubiskyCHI — GM Ryan Pace · North Carolina
2016Carson WentzPHI — GM Howie Roseman · North Dakota St.
2015Marcus MariotaTEN — GM Ruston Webster · Oregon
2012Robert Griffin IIIWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Baylor
1999Donovan McNabbPHI — GM Tom Modrak · Syracuse
1998Ryan LeafLAC — GM Bobby Beathard · Washington St.
1993Rick MirerSEA — GM Tom Flores/Behring · Notre Dame
1973Bert JonesIND · LSU

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