QB·pick 196
Randy Hedberg
Drafted by TB · Minot State
1977
2
QBs drafted at #196 in NFL history
most recent: Keith Null (LAR, 2009)
How rare was this draftigami?
Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a quarterback at #196 a 4.3% chance in 1977.
Quarterback at #196, year by year
Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.
Peak: 9.4% · 2027 model: 4.6%
Surrounding picks · 1977 draft
- #191DTDave Stalls
- #192WRSmith, KenKen Smith
- #193OTBlanchard Carter
- #194TEJim Corbett
- #195RBKevin Long
Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick
- 2009Keith Null