QB · pick 195 — first ever quarterback at #195 (1989)

QB·pick 195

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #195

Terrence Jones

Drafted by LAC — GM Steve Ortmayer · Tulane

1989

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1988, the model gave a quarterback at #195 a 4.0% chance in 1989.

Quarterback at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.3% · 2027 model: 4.6%

Surrounding picks · 1989 draft

#190LBTracy RogersTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#191DEBenji RolandMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#192QBBrent SnyderCHI — GM Bill Tobin
#193CBChris HaleBUF — GM Bill Polian
#194WRKendal SmithCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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