Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 194

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #194

Bruce Gradkowski

Drafted by TB — GM Bruce Allen · Toledo

2006

2
QBs drafted at #194 in NFL history
most recent: Keith Wenning (BAL, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a quarterback at #194 a 6.0% chance in 2006.

Quarterback at #194, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.3% 2006: 6.0%

Peak: 9.3% · 2027 model: 4.6%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart