QB · pick 193 — first ever quarterback at #193 (2004)

QB·pick 193

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #193

Jim Sorgi

Drafted by IND — GM Bill Polian · Wisconsin

2004

QBs drafted at #193 in NFL history

most recent: Joe Milton (NE, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a quarterback at #193 a 5.4% chance in 2004.

Quarterback at #193, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.2% · 2027 model: 4.6%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#188STAndy LeeSF — GM Terry Donahue
#189DTCraig TerrillSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#190CJosh SewellDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#191RBTroy FlemingTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#192CBDexter WynnPHI — GM Andy Reid
#194TEMatt KranchickPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#195WRJeris McIntyreKC — GM Carl Peterson
#196LBSean TuftsCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#197CDrew CaylorPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#198SKeith LewisSF — GM Terry Donahue

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Joe MiltonNE — GM Eliot Wolf · Tennessee
2006Reggie McNealCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Texas A&M

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