QB · pick 190 — first ever quarterback at #190 (1991)

QB·pick 190

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #190

Paul Justin

Drafted by CHI — GM Bill Tobin · Arizona St.

1991

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a quarterback at #190 a 4.3% chance in 1991.

Quarterback at #190, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.1% · 2027 model: 4.6%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

#185LBAndre JonesPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#186OGMark TuckerATL — GM Ken Herock
#187RBJames JosephPHI — GM Harry Gamble
#188TEKeith CashWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#189CBBernard EllisonKC — GM Carl Peterson
#191SChris GreenMIA — GM Don Shula
#192OGTerry BeaufordLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#193RBSheldon CanleySF — GM John McVay
#194RBAmir RasulBUF — GM Bill Polian
#195CBSimmie CarterNYG — GM George Young

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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