QB · pick 189 — first ever quarterback at #189 (2020)

QB·pick 189

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #189

Jake Luton

Drafted by JAX — GM David Caldwell · Oregon St.

2020

QBs drafted at #189 in NFL history

most recent: Riley Leonard (IND, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2019, the model gave a quarterback at #189 a 3.8% chance in 2020.

Quarterback at #189, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.1% · 2027 model: 4.5%

Surrounding picks · 2020 draft

#184DTBravvion RoyCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#185STBlake FergusonMIA — GM Chris Grier
#186SAlohi GilmanLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#187WRDonovan Peoples-JonesCLE — GM Andrew Berry
#188STTyler BassBUF — GM Brandon Beane
#190TECharlie WoernerSF — GM John Lynch
#191STBraden MannNYJ — GM Joe Douglas
#192OTJon Runyan Jr.GB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#193DTRobert WindsorIND — GM Chris Ballard
#194DTKhalil DavisTB — GM Jason Licht

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2025Riley LeonardIND — GM Chris Ballard · Notre Dame

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