Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 183

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #183

Parnell Dickinson

Drafted by TB · Mississippi Valley State

1976

3
QBs drafted at #183 in NFL history
most recent: David Fales (CHI, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a quarterback at #183 a 4.0% chance in 1976.

Quarterback at #183, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.8% 1976: 4.0%

Peak: 8.8% · 2027 model: 4.5%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart