QB · pick 18 — first ever quarterback at #18 (2000)

QB·pick 18

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #18

Chad Pennington

Drafted by NYJ — GM Dick Haley · Marshall

2000

QBs drafted at #18 in NFL history

most recent: Joe Flacco (BAL, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a quarterback at #18 a 3.4% chance in 2000.

Quarterback at #18, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.7% · 2027 model: 4.4%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#13DEJohn AbrahamNYJ — GM Dick Haley
#14TEBubba FranksGB — GM Ron Wolf
#15CBDeltha O'NealDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#16LBJulian PetersonSF — GM Bill Walsh
#17STSebastian JanikowskiLV — GM Al Davis era
#19RBShaun AlexanderSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#20OTStockar McDougleDET — GM Chuck Schmidt
#21WRSylvester MorrisKC — GM Carl Peterson
#22OTChris McIntoshSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#23CBRashard AndersonCAR — GM Dom Anile

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2008Joe FlaccoBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Delaware

→ see this cell on the full chart