Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 178

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #178

Jim Miller

Drafted by PIT — GM Tom Donahoe · Michigan St.

1994

5
QBs drafted at #178 in NFL history
most recent: Cole Payton (PHI, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1993, the model gave a quarterback at #178 a 3.6% chance in 1994.

Quarterback at #178, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.7% 1994: 3.6%

Peak: 8.7% · 2027 model: 4.4%

Surrounding picks · 1994 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart