Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 177

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #177

Scott Bull

Drafted by SF · Arkansas

1976

2
QBs drafted at #177 in NFL history
most recent: Josh Heupel (MIA, 2001)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a quarterback at #177 a 4.0% chance in 1976.

Quarterback at #177, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%8.6% 1976: 4.0%

Peak: 8.6% · 2027 model: 4.4%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart