QB · pick 172 — first ever quarterback at #172 (1998)

QB·pick 172

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #172

John Dutton

Drafted by MIA — GM Jimmy Johnson · Nevada

1998

QBs drafted at #172 in NFL history

most recent: Josh Booty (SEA, 2001)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a quarterback at #172 a 4.6% chance in 1998.

Quarterback at #172, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.4% · 2027 model: 4.3%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

#167WRJason TuckerCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#168SLee WigginsTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#169WRBobby ShawSEA — GM Mike Allman
#170WRPatrick PalmerWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#171CNathan StrikwerdaMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#173CMatt BirkMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#174WRChris BrazzellNYJ — GM Bill Parcells
#175DTJames CannidaTB — GM Rich McKay
#176RBHarold ShawNE — GM Bobby Grier
#177TETodd PollackNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2001Josh BootySEA — GM Mike Holmgren · LSU

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