QB · pick 170 — first ever quarterback at #170 (1968)

QB·pick 170

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #170

John Schneider

Drafted by NE · Toledo

1968

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Quarterback at #170, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.4% · 2027 model: 4.3%

Surrounding picks · 1968 draft

#165SJames JohnsonCIN
#166TESteve SmithCIN
#167WROscar ReedMIN
#168CJohn HarperLV
#169OGRay PhillipsNO
#171RBLenny SnowMIN
#172OTJohn BoyntonMIA
#173SPete RichardsonBUF
#174RBDoug DaltonPIT
#175WRGene HowardNO

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart