QB · pick 164 — first ever quarterback at #164 (2002)

QB·pick 164

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #164

Craig Nall

Drafted by GB — GM Mike Sherman · LSU

2002

QBs drafted at #164 in NFL history

most recent: Jaren Hall (MIN, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a quarterback at #164 a 4.5% chance in 2002.

Quarterback at #164, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.1% · 2027 model: 4.2%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#159SAndre LottWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#160TERobert RoyalWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#161CBOmare LoweMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#162WRFreddie MilonsPHI — GM Andy Reid
#163QBBrandon DomanSF — GM Terry Donahue
#165LBBryan KnightCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#166RBVerron HaynesPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#167LBCourtland BullardLAR — GM Charley Armey
#168CBPete HunterDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#169TERyan HannamSEA — GM Mike Holmgren

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2023Jaren HallMIN — GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah · BYU
2014A.J. McCarronCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Alabama
2006Omar JacobsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Bowling Green

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