QB · pick 156 — first ever quarterback at #156 (1990)

QB·pick 156

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #156

Mike Buck

Drafted by NO — GM Jim Finks · Maine

1990

QBs drafted at #156 in NFL history

most recent: Dennis Dixon (PIT, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1989, the model gave a quarterback at #156 a 4.4% chance in 1990.

Quarterback at #156, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.9% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 1990 draft

#151CBSean VanhorseMIA — GM Don Shula
#152DTTom SimsKC — GM Carl Peterson
#153WRTony JonesTEN — GM Mike Holovak
#154STJohn NiesBUF — GM Bill Polian
#155WRRonald HeardPIT — GM Dick Haley
#157CBRandy HilliardCLE — GM Ernie Accorsi
#158LBJames WilliamsNO — GM Jim Finks
#159LBBryce PaupGB — GM Tom Braatz
#160DTKent WellsWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#161WRTim StallworthLAR — GM John Shaw

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2008Dennis DixonPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Oregon

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