QB · pick 154 — first ever quarterback at #154 (1979)

QB·pick 154

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #154

Mike Moroski

Drafted by ATL · UC Davis

1979

QBs drafted at #154 in NFL history

most recent: Mike Machurek (DET, 1982)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a quarterback at #154 a 4.9% chance in 1979.

Quarterback at #154, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.8% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#149OGDufek, BillBill DufekNYJ
#150OTMoore, JimJim MooreIND
#151SClinton BurrellCLE
#152TEJoe SenserMIN
#153LBDave SimmonsGB
#155CBLavender, TimTim LavenderDAL
#156CBHenry WilliamsLV
#157TEBill MurrellPIT
#158RBEddie HicksNYG
#159LBMike MurphyTEN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1982Mike MachurekDET — GM Russ Thomas · Idaho St.

→ see this cell on the full chart