QB · pick 153 — first ever quarterback at #153 (1984)

QB·pick 153

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #153

Randy Wright

Drafted by GB — GM Forrest Gregg · Wisconsin

1984

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a quarterback at #153 a 3.3% chance in 1984.

Quarterback at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.8% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#148QBBen BennettATL — GM Tom Braatz
#149RBTony PaigeNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#150TEDon KernCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#151CBErnest GibsonNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#152LBEugene LockhartDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#154WRDwight CollinsMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#155CTony SlatonBUF — GM Stew Barber
#156DTDon ThorpNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#157LBRod ClarkARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#158QBTerry NugentCLE — GM Art Modell/staff

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart