QB · pick 152 — first ever quarterback at #152 (2005)

QB·pick 152

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #152

Adrian McPherson

Drafted by NO — GM Mickey Loomis · Florida St.

2005

QBs drafted at #152 in NFL history

most recent: T.J. Yates (HOU, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a quarterback at #152 a 5.2% chance in 2005.

Quarterback at #152, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.7% · 2027 model: 4.0%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#147CBAlphonso HodgeKC — GM Carl Peterson
#148DEJonathan WelshIND — GM Bill Polian
#149LBAdam SewardCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#150OTDaniel LoperTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#151CDrew HodgdonHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#153OTAdam KieftCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#154LBRobert McCuneWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#155WRLarry BrackinsTB — GM Bruce Allen
#156CBEric KingBUF — GM Tom Donahoe
#157SGerald SensabaughJAX — GM James Harris

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2011T.J. YatesHOU — GM Rick Smith · North Carolina

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