QB · pick 15 — first ever quarterback at #15 (1980)

QB·pick 15

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #15

Marc Wilson

Drafted by LV — GM Al Davis · BYU

1980

QBs drafted at #15 in NFL history

most recent: Mac Jones (NE, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1979, the model gave a quarterback at #15 a 4.1% chance in 1980.

Quarterback at #15, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.3% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 1980 draft

#10DEJacob GreenSEA — GM John Thompson
#11OGBrad BuddeKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#12OTStan BrockNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#13RBEarl CooperSF — GM John McVay
#14SRoland JamesNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#16OGJim RitcherBUF — GM Stew Barber
#17CBJohnnie JohnsonLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#18WRArt MonkWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#19LBOtis WilsonCHI — GM Jim Finks
#20DEJim StuckeySF — GM John McVay

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2021Mac JonesNE — GM Bill Belichick · Alabama
2019Dwayne HaskinsWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Ohio St.
1983Tony EasonNE — GM Patrick Sullivan · Illinois

→ see this cell on the full chart