QB · pick 149 — first ever quarterback at #149 (1982)

QB·pick 149

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #149

Mike Kelley

Drafted by ATL — GM Eddie LeBaron · Georgia Tech

1982

QBs drafted at #149 in NFL history

most recent: Sean Clifford (GB, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a quarterback at #149 a 4.2% chance in 1982.

Quarterback at #149, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 7.6% · 2027 model: 3.9%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

#144OTJack CampbellSEA — GM Mike McCormack
#145TEKerry LocklinLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#146OGKurt BeckerCHI — GM Jim Finks
#147LBGreg StorrMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#148RBGary AllenTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#150LBCraig ShafferARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#151RBVince WilliamsSF — GM John McVay
#152LBChet ParlavecchioGB — GM Bart Starr
#153LBLamont JeffersWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#154QBMike MachurekDET — GM Russ Thomas

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2023Sean CliffordGB — GM Brian Gutekunst · Penn St.
2001Mike McMahonDET — GM Matt Millen · Rutgers
1988Don McPhersonPHI — GM Harry Gamble · Syracuse

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