Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 143

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #143

Mike Kirkland

Drafted by IND · Arkansas

1976

2
QBs drafted at #143 in NFL history
most recent: Rusty Hilger (LV, 1985)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a quarterback at #143 a 4.1% chance in 1976.

Quarterback at #143, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%7.5% 1976: 4.1%

Peak: 7.5% · 2027 model: 3.8%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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