Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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QB·pick 14

FIRST QB EVER DRAFTED AT #14

John Reaves

Drafted by PHI · Florida

1972

2
QBs drafted at #14 in NFL history
most recent: Jim Kelly (BUF, 1983)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a quarterback at #14 a 6.3% chance in 1972.

Quarterback at #14, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.9% 1972: 6.3%

Peak: 17.9% · 2027 model: 5.8%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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